Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.004736 0.004989 0.005250 0.005540 0.005852 0.006180 0.006550
2025-11-30 0.004246 0.004609 0.005000 0.005454 0.005967 0.006535 0.007211
2025-12-07 0.003937 0.004359 0.004826 0.005384 0.006039 0.006788 0.007718
2025-12-14 0.003735 0.004201 0.004728 0.005375 0.006154 0.007074 0.008256
2025-12-21 0.003482 0.003963 0.004517 0.005210 0.006062 0.007093 0.008455
2025-12-28 0.003361 0.003869 0.004465 0.005225 0.006181 0.007365 0.008975
2026-01-04 0.003277 0.003814 0.004453 0.005283 0.006349 0.007702 0.009594
2026-01-11 0.003158 0.003708 0.004371 0.005246 0.006390 0.007871 0.009993
2026-01-18 0.003063 0.003626 0.004315 0.005235 0.006460 0.008077 0.010452
2026-01-25 0.002961 0.003532 0.004238 0.005192 0.006482 0.008215 0.010818
2026-02-01 0.002930 0.003524 0.004267 0.005289 0.006694 0.008623 0.011598
2026-02-08 0.002847 0.003447 0.004205 0.005258 0.006727 0.008779 0.012011
2026-02-15 0.002778 0.003386 0.004162 0.005253 0.006797 0.008993 0.012531
2026-02-22 0.002685 0.003290 0.004069 0.005174 0.006759 0.009045 0.012801
2026-03-01 0.002603 0.003206 0.003989 0.005110 0.006736 0.009117 0.013104
2026-03-08 0.002546 0.003154 0.003949 0.005101 0.006793 0.009310 0.013615
2026-03-15 0.002441 0.003033 0.003812 0.004948 0.006628 0.009153 0.013528
2026-03-22 0.002400 0.002999 0.003793 0.004962 0.006714 0.009388 0.014125
2026-03-29 0.002376 0.002986 0.003802 0.005016 0.006861 0.009729 0.014930
2026-04-05 0.002323 0.002932 0.003752 0.004981 0.006870 0.009844 0.015340
2026-04-12 0.002281 0.002891 0.003719 0.004971 0.006916 0.010023 0.015878
2026-04-19 0.002230 0.002839 0.003668 0.004931 0.006912 0.010115 0.016260
2026-04-26 0.002224 0.002846 0.003702 0.005021 0.007119 0.010575 0.017386